House races as the field is set for the midterm elections
Canada Goose Jackets Now that they are past the threat of primary shutouts, the competitive congressional matchups in California are set. House without winning at least a few of them. Though Republicans are officially targeting four Democratic districts in California, they are widely considered safe. Canada Goose Jackets
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canada goose Our take: The Republican vote share in the primary around 49% suggests Democrats have a strong chance of flipping this seat, soon to be vacated by Issa, who won reelection in 2016 by around 1,600 canada goose coats votes. His potential GOP replacement, Diane Harkey, the state tax board chairman who won first place in the primary, has better name canada goose uk shop recognition than her Democratic opponent, attorney Mike Levin. Levin is certain to have plenty of Democratic support and money behind him as the party eyes this seat as one of its best pickup opportunities. canada goose
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Our take: Knight, long targeted by Democrats buy canada goose jacket cheap in this swing district that is one of canada goose outlet the party’s biggest pickup opportunities, had a strong showing in the primary, receiving 53% of the vote in Canada Goose Coats On Sale preliminary election returns. His opponent, Democrat Katie Hill, is new to campaign politics, but has deep roots in the area and was one of two Emily’s List endorsed candidates to make it through competitive Canada Goose Online primaries in a year where female candidates seem to be getting a boost from voters. Hill has been the subject of national attention and even a Vice News documentary.
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buy canada goose jacket cheap Our take: It’s looking more and more likely that Rohrabacher will lose this seat since no Republican garnered enough votes to shut Democrats out of the race. The contest with wealthy businessman Harley Rouda is set to be intense as national Democrats focus on unseating Rohrabacher, who canada goose clearance has come under scrutiny for his longtime friendliness toward Russia and off the wall statements. Even if Rohrabacher can consolidate the Republican vote he won only 30% in the primary Democrats have a strong chance here. buy canada goose jacket cheap
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Our take: Left open by the retiring buy canada goose jacket Royce, this district is ripe for a big battle. With former GOP Assemblywoman Young Kim winning the primary as Royce’s anointed successor, she has a big advantage on what is still conservative leaning turf. But voter registration is trending Democratic, and Gil Cisneros, a Navy veteran who used his millions in lottery winnings to fund a nasty battle against fellow Democrats, starts off the general election campaign with more cash to spend. This district also is central to the state fight over immigration policy.
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canadian goose jacket Our take: Walters kept a fairly low profile during the primary while a crowded field of Democrats fought among themselves. She has enjoyed the support of her district by large, albeit shrinking, margins in previous elections, winning with 65% of the vote in 2014 and 58% in 2016. Walters has taken fundraising seriously, raising nearly $2.6 million. Her Democratic opponent, UC Irvine law professor Katie Porter, had to canada goose uk black friday spend most of her impressive $1.1 million primary haul in an intra party primary battle and had just a sixth of what Walters had in the bank in mid May. Plus Porter has cast herself as Canada Goose online a progressive, which could make it tough for her to flip this district without high Democratic turnout this fall. canadian goose jacket
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Our take: According to the numbers political prognosticators typically rely on, Denham should have lost in 2016. Hillary cheap canada goose uk Clinton and Denham each won the district by 3 percentage points. Canada Goose sale Denham has had the uk canada goose secret sauce to keep his constituents happy even as Democrats have salivated to flip a district seemingly so perfect for their party. An ingredient to his success: His attention to water issues critical in the Central Valley. His likely opponent, Democrat Josh Harder, has proved a good fundraiser. Even if Harder can consolidate support that went to other Democratic candidates in the primary, his success may hinge on his ability to woo some moderate Republicans to his side.
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cheap Canada Goose Our take: Though the voter registration in his district is lopsided against Republicans Democrats have an 18 percentage point advantage Valadao outran Donald Trump by 16 percentage points and even Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points. Valadao’s Democratic opponent TJ canada goose Cox joined the race late and must make up for a fundraising deficit. Still, Democrats will try their best to get over the line in a place that, by the numbers, seems winnable for the party. cheap Canada Goose
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canada goose deals Our take: Hunter’s solidly Republican district is changing, but not as fast as Issa’s neighboring district. His biggest challenge by far is that he’s facing potential legal and ethics troubles that will be exploited by his opponent. His seat got a second look as a potential pickup only after it was revealed that the FBI was investigating allegations that he had misused campaign funds. The Democrat who earned the second highest number of votes in the primary, Ammar Campa Najjar, is a liberal. That means the odds are this seat stays in Republican hands. canada goose deals
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Canada Goose Outlet Our take: Though Nunes has gained national fame due uk canada goose outlet to multiple sideshows related to his leading role in the House’s https://www.canadagoosejacketonlines.ca Russian election meddling investigation, this district is strongly Republican and it’s unlikely most of his constituents canada goose coats on sale will factor in Russia controversies when they go to canada goose uk outlet the polls. Plus, Nunes outran Trump in his district by 16 percentage points in 2016. His Democratic opponent, Fresno County prosecutor Andrew Janz, has parlayed Nunes’ notoriety on the left into a canada goose store a ton of campaign cash, but Nunes is still far outpacing him in the money race. It would be a very, very good night for Democrats if they were to win here in November Canada Goose Outlet.